Date: March 15, 2021 / 2pm – 3:30pm via Zoom
SPEAKERS:
Charlle Sy An Optimization Approach to the Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines Abstract: A nonlinear programming (NLP) model has been developed to determine the optimal allocation of COVID-19 vaccines that minimizes the reproduction rate of the virus. The reproduction rate represents the expected number of secondary infections generated by an infectious individual. The model is capable of handling multiple vaccines with different levels of efficacy. Consequently, the distribution of vaccines reduces transmission and relative infectiousness of individuals across different age groups. A hypothetical case study is solved to illustrate the computational capability of the model, which can generate an allocation plan with outcomes that are superior to simple ad hoc allocation. Furthermore, a user interface has also been developed to aid in the deployment of the model. About the speaker: |
Vicente Reventar COVID 19 and its Effects on Supply Chains in the Philippines Abstract: This pandemic caught everyone by surprise. The national government never took the threat seriously until infected cases began showing its dangerous “exponential” growth. Although we have disaster management agencies, there are geared toward a different type of disaster, not for a possible widespread health-bound disaster. Because of COVID-19, the immediate reaction of the Philippine government was to implement an Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) designed to limit the mobility of people by restricting them through a “stay-at-home” directive and thus minimizing the “contact-rate” of people through social distancing. These 2 directives were aimed at “flattening” the exponential curve till newly infected people daily Although suppliers may still have inventories and “safety stocks” the local logistic companies are having a difficult time in moving the finished goods and raw materials because of strict protocols in the checkpoints all around Luzon and the other areas in the Philippines. We also have to contend with perishable goods like vegetables and seafood that have limited shelf life even with refrigeration. This talk discusses several simulation models (COVID-19 models, supply chain models, both using system dynamics and agent-based modeling). These models try to “approximate” reality but in the end, the basic insight and “take away” is that all these systems are interlinked, and we should recognize these “tightly-coupled” interdependencies whenever we make policy decisions that could affect a major segment of society. An example of this policy decision is the government policy which imposed the ECQ, the government will probably decide at some point to lift (partially?) the restrictions allowing the flow of goods and services, and for employees in critical sectors (health, manufacturing, agricultural and transport sectors) to go back to work. The objectives are the replenishment of critical inventories and creating money flow in the system to provide relief to consumers wanting to buy basic goods. We all know that lifting the ECQ on the other hand, does come with a risk that the infection rates might go up again, putting the general population at peril. This may really qualify as a “vicious” problem. What can we do today and in the future to “immunize” our local supply chains in cases of partial disruptions? Most supply chain experts recommend reconfiguring the current supply chains by increasing production and inventory capacities. Other recommendations also include repositioning some inventories in certain regions or facilities under quarantine. Any segment in the supply chain (plant, distributor, wholesaler, retailer, “last-mile” -customer) will be subjected to disruptions affecting the integrity of the whole chain. The critical issue is the ability of individual “segments” time-to-recover when a disruption occurs. Ensuring a “fast” time-to recover will go a long way in ensuring the performance of the supply chain. Two supply chain organizations namely the Supply Chain Management Association of the Philippines (SCMAP) and, Philippine Institute of Supply Management. It is recommended that they be part of any government policy effort in managing the effects of COVID-19 in the flow of goods and services. About the speaker: |
PROGRAM SCHEDULE:
Time | Title of Talk | Speaker |
01:50 – 02:00 | Welcome Remarks | Shella Mariscal |
02:00 – 02:45 | Intro of First Speaker | Dennis Cruz |
An Optimization Approach to the Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines |
Charlle Sy |
|
Q & A | Dennis Cruz | |
02:45 – 3:30 | Intro of Second Speaker | Nestley Sore |
COVID 19 and its Effects on Supply Chains in the Philippines | Vicente Reventar Lecturer Ateneo de Manila University |
|
Q & A | Nestley Sore |
REGISTRATION DETAILS:
• Participants who register and pay will be given the Zoom details of the conference. All sessions will
be recorded and will be made available to registered participants.
• Registration fee is waived for active ORSP MEMBERS provided they register by March 10,2021.
• Other Registration fees: Non Member/Student PhP 100
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